Frozen until verified

Audit Record Methodology

This page claimed live formulas and cadences for derived college baseball metrics that are now under audit. We pulled it because we can't currently defend every number on it — and a number we can't defend doesn't belong in front of you.

What brings it back

wOBA, wRC+, FIP
- wOBA: Linear weights not validated against college run environments.
- wRC+: Headline use without translation or defensible college-level scaling.
- FIP: League constant and HR rates not validated for D1 play.
- Named source data feed
- Exact formula published on /methodology
- College-level (not MLB) constants and level-of-play fit
- Minimum sample size stated wherever the number renders
- Update cadence shown from real metadata, not copy
- Plain-English glossary entry linked next to every appearance
Park Factors
Single-season samples are too thin to support park claims.
- Multi-season batted-ball sample per park
- Run-environment method published on /methodology
- Weather and context caveats stated where shown
- Confidence bands rendered with every factor
Conference Strength Index
Output appeared implausible in audit; method unproven.
- Named source data
- Computation rules published on /methodology
- Sanity checks against final-season results
- Direct vs. derived values labeled wherever shown

Where to go instead

Methodology, sources, and the full standard live at /methodology

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